HOW TO CALCULATE YOUR OWN VALUE ODDS

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Backing every horse at 3/1 when it’s really an 8/1 shot will leave you broke. However, backing a horse at 8/1 or bigger when it really should be 3/1, will guarantee long term profits.
Take a horse with form figures of 121, trained by John Gosden, priced up as the 2/1 favourite in a half decent handicap race. The horse has a great chance of winning, however it is now running over a distance it has never won at and at a course where it has run four times before without coming close.
In the same race there is a horse with form figures of 49978 that hasn’t ...

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